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Tue-Sat, June 25-July 6th Severe T’stoRm Threat Update #12

6/30/2019

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11:15PM - 6/30/19) Several smaller disturbances moving through the region will bring the chance for severe t'storms to portions of the state through Saturday July 6th.

Monday Morning-Night Forecast (July 1st)...
An isolated shower or t’storm May be possible across Northern Illinois Monday morning. Additional isolated to scattered showers and t’storms may be possible across portions of the state Monday afternoon into Monday evening. The most focused activity may be across portions of far Northern Illinois. An environment characterized by high instability, high moisture and low shear will be in place. This will aide in an isolated severe t’storm portion across portions of Northern Illinois, with wind and hail being the main threats.


Tuesday Morning-Night (June 25th) Recap...
Scattered showers and t'storms developed and pushed across portions of Northern Illinois Tuesday afternoon. Some of these t'storms were severe, with wind and hail being the main threats that occurred. Tuesday evening into Tuesday night, a complex of rain and t'storms that developed across Southern Iowa pushed across Western and Central Illinois. Severe t'storms were widespread with this activity across Western Illinois, waning with time across Central Illinois. Wind and hail were the main threats that occurred with this activity.
Wednesday Morning-Night (June 26th) Recap...
Scattered showers and t'storms developed across Western and Southwest Illinois Wednesday afternoon. This activity grew upscale into a large complex, which pushed across portions of Central and much of Southern Illinois from the afternoon into night. Isolated to widely scattered severe t'storms occurred with this activity, with wind and hail being the threats that occurred. Further north, scattered showers and t'storms developed across portions of Northern Illinois late in the afternoon and evening. This activity spread across portions of Northern Illinois into the night. Isolated to widely scattered t'storms occurred with this activity, with wind and hail being the threats that occurred.

​Thursday Morning-Thursday Night (June 27th)...
The southern end of a complex of rain and t'storms pushed across portions of Northern Illinois Thursday afternoon and evening. A few isolated t'storms were severe, with wind and hail being the main threats that occurred.

Friday Morning-Friday Night (June 28th) Recap…
A weakening complex of rain and t'storms pushed across portions of Northern Illinois Friday morning. The western end of this complex regenerated, and moved across portions of Central and Southern Illinois during the afternoon and evening. Widely scattered severe t'storms occurred with this activity, producing wind and hail.
Saturday Morning-Saturday Night (June 29th) Recap...
​Scattered t'storms developed and moved across portions of Northern and Central Illinois during the afternoon and evening. Isolated t'storms were severe, producing wind and hail.

​Sunday Morning-Sunday Night (June 30th) Recap...
Two complexes of rain and severe t’storms spread across much of Northern and Central Illinois, Sunday afternoon into evening. The first complex pushed across Northern and Eastern Illinois, brining widespread damaging winds to the area. The second complex pushed across Northwest and Western Illinois, also bringing widespread damaging winds to the area.


A severe t'storm threat will likely continue into Saturday July 6th for portions of the state. This will be discussed further in upcoming updates as the time approaches.

Below is the updated TAM severe t’storm forecast for Monday morning-night.​
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JP

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Tue-Sat, June 25-July 6th Severe T'storm Threat Update #11

6/30/2019

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(11:30AM - 6/30/19) Several smaller disturbances moving through the region will bring the chance for severe t'storms to portions of the state through Saturday July 6th.

Tuesday Morning-Night (June 25th) Recap...
Scattered showers and t'storms developed and pushed across portions of Northern Illinois Tuesday afternoon. Some of these t'storms were severe, with wind and hail being the main threats that occurred. Tuesday evening into Tuesday night, a complex of rain and t'storms that developed across Southern Iowa pushed across Western and Central Illinois. Severe t'storms were widespread with this activity across Western Illinois, waning with time across Central Illinois. Wind and hail were the main threats that occurred with this activity.

Wednesday Morning-Night (June 26th) Recap...
Scattered showers and t'storms developed across Western and Southwest Illinois Wednesday afternoon. This activity grew upscale into a large complex, which pushed across portions of Central and much of Southern Illinois from the afternoon into night. Isolated to widely scattered severe t'storms occurred with this activity, with wind and hail being the threats that occurred. Further north, scattered showers and t'storms developed across portions of Northern Illinois late in the afternoon and evening. This activity spread across portions of Northern Illinois into the night. Isolated to widely scattered t'storms occurred with this activity, with wind and hail being the threats that occurred.
​Thursday Morning-Thursday Night (June 27th)...
The southern end of a complex of rain and t'storms pushed across portions of Northern Illinois Thursday afternoon and evening. A few isolated t'storms were severe, with wind and hail being the main threats that occurred.

Friday Morning-Friday Night (June 28th) Recap…
A weakening complex of rain and t'storms pushed across portions of Northern Illinois Friday morning. The western end of this complex regenerated, and moved across portions of Central and Southern Illinois during the afternoon and evening. Widely scattered severe t'storms occurred with this activity, producing wind and hail.

Saturday Morning-Saturday Night (June 29th) Recap...
​Scattered t'storms developed and moved across portions of Northern and Central Illinois during the afternoon and evening. Isolated t'storms were severe, producing wind and hail.
Sunday Morning-Sunday Night...
A complex of rain and t'storms has been pushing southward across Wisconsin this morning. This complex is expected to push into and across much of Northern and portions of Central Illinois this afternoon and into tonight. Development of isolated to scattered showers and t'storms may also occur ahead of this main complex, moving across portions of Northeast, Eastern and Southeast Illinois during the afternoon and evening. A second complex of rain and t'storms pushing southeastward across Minnesota this morning may also push into the state this evening into tonight, affecting Northern Illinois. An environment characterized by high instability, high moisture and low shear will be in place across the state. This will help support up to a scattered severe t'storm threat across portions of the state this afternoon into tonight, with wind and hail being the main threats.

A severe t'storm threat will likely continue into Saturday July 6th for portions of the state. This will be discussed further in upcoming updates as the time approaches.


Below is the updated TAM severe t’storm forecast for today/tonight.​ ​
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JP

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Tue-Sat, June 25-July 6th Severe T'storm Threat Update #10

6/29/2019

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(9:30PM - 6/29/19) Several smaller disturbances moving through the region will bring the chance for severe t'storms to portions of the state through Saturday July 6th.

Tuesday Morning-Night (June 25th) Recap...
Scattered showers and t'storms developed and pushed across portions of Northern Illinois Tuesday afternoon. Some of these t'storms were severe, with wind and hail being the main threats that occurred. Tuesday evening into Tuesday night, a complex of rain and t'storms that developed across Southern Iowa pushed across Western and Central Illinois. Severe t'storms were widespread with this activity across Western Illinois, waning with time across Central Illinois. Wind and hail were the main threats that occurred with this activity.

Wednesday Morning-Night (June 26th) Recap...
Scattered showers and t'storms developed across Western and Southwest Illinois Wednesday afternoon. This activity grew upscale into a large complex, which pushed across portions of Central and much of Southern Illinois from the afternoon into night. Isolated to widely scattered severe t'storms occurred with this activity, with wind and hail being the threats that occurred. Further north, scattered showers and t'storms developed across portions of Northern Illinois late in the afternoon and evening. This activity spread across portions of Northern Illinois into the night. Isolated to widely scattered t'storms occurred with this activity, with wind and hail being the threats that occurred.
Thursday Morning-Thursday Night (June 27th)...
The southern end of a complex of rain and t'storms pushed across portions of Northern Illinois Thursday afternoon and evening. A few isolated t'storms were severe, with wind and hail being the main threats that occurred.

Friday Morning-Friday Night (June 28th) Recap…
A weakening complex of rain and t'storms pushed across portions of Northern Illinois Friday morning. The western end of this complex regenerated, and moved across portions of Central and Southern Illinois during the afternoon and evening. Widely scattered severe t'storms occurred with this activity, producing wind and hail.

Saturday Morning-Saturday Night (June 29th) Recap...
​Scattered t'storms developed and moved across portions of Northern and Central Illinois during the afternoon and evening. Isolated t'storms were severe, producing wind and hail.

Sunday Morning-Sunday Night...
A complex of rain and t'storms will be pushing across Minnesota and Wisconsin Sunday morning. This complex will likely push across much of Northern and Central Illinois Sunday afternoon into night, potentially making it into portions of Southern Illinois Sunday night as well. Development of scattered showers and t'storms will also be likely ahead of this main complex across portions of Northern Illinois during the afternoon. An environment characterized by high instability, high moisture and low shear will be in place across the state. This will help support 

A severe t'storm threat will likely continue into Saturday July 6th for portions of the state. This will be discussed further in upcoming updates as the time approaches.


Below is the updated TAM severe t’storm forecast for Sunday/Sunday Night.​
Picture
JP

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Tue-Fri, June 25-28th Severe T'storm Threat Update #9

6/28/2019

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(11:45AM - 6/28/19) Several smaller disturbances moving through the region will bring the chance for severe t'storms to portions of the state through tonight.

Tuesday Morning-Night Recap...
Scattered showers and t'storms developed and pushed across portions of Northern Illinois Tuesday afternoon. Some of these t'storms were severe, with wind and hail being the main threats that occurred. Tuesday evening into Tuesday night, a complex of rain and t'storms that developed across Southern Iowa pushed across Western and Central Illinois. Severe t'storms were widespread with this activity across Western Illinois, waning with time across Central Illinois. Wind and hail were the main threats that occurred with this activity.

Wednesday Morning-Night Recap...
Scattered showers and t'storms developed across Western and Southwest Illinois Wednesday afternoon. This activity grew upscale into a large complex, which pushed across portions of Central and much of Southern Illinois from the afternoon into night. Isolated to widely scattered severe t'storms occurred with this activity, with wind and hail being the threats that occurred. Further north, scattered showers and t'storms developed across portions of Northern Illinois late in the afternoon and evening. This activity spread across portions of Northern Illinois into the night. Isolated to widely scattered t'storms occurred with this activity, with wind and hail being the threats that occurred.
Thursday Morning-Thursday Night...
The southern end of a complex of rain and t'storms pushed across portions of Northern Illinois Thursday afternoon and evening. A few isolated t'storms were severe, with wind and hail being the main threats that occurred.

This Afternoon-Tonight...
A complex of rain and t'storms that develop across Minnesota and Wisconsin last night, held together and moved into Northern Illinois this morning. This activity has been weakening, but is still producing isolated to scattered showers and t'storms across portions of Northern Illinois into early this afternoon. The far western end of this complex has held together and re-strengthened across Southeast Iowa. This complex is expected to push southward, moving across portions of Western Illinois and Missouri this afternoon...and possibly brushing the St. Louis area and Southwest Illinois this evening, if it maintains. An environment characterized by high instability, high moisture and low shear will be in place ahead of this complex. This will help support an isolated to widely scattered severe t'storm potential for portions of Western and Southwest Illinois, with wind and hail will be the main threats. An isolated shower or t'storm may be possible across portions of Northern and Central Illinois this afternoon and evening, in the vicinity of an outflow boundary left over from the early day activity.


Below is the updated TAM severe t’storm forecast for this afternoon-tonight.
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​JP

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Tue-Fri, June 25-28th Severe T'storm Threat #8

6/27/2019

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(9:30PM - 6/27/19) Several smaller disturbances moving through the region will bring the chance for severe t'storms to portions of the state through Friday.

Tuesday Morning-Night Recap...
Scattered showers and t'storms developed and pushed across portions of Northern Illinois Tuesday afternoon. Some of these t'storms were severe, with wind and hail being the main threats that occurred. Tuesday evening into Tuesday night, a complex of rain and t'storms that developed across Southern Iowa pushed across Western and Central Illinois. Severe t'storms were widespread with this activity across Western Illinois, waning with time across Central Illinois. Wind and hail were the main threats that occurred with this activity.

Wednesday Morning-Night Recap...
Scattered showers and t'storms developed across Western and Southwest Illinois Wednesday afternoon. This activity grew upscale into a large complex, which pushed across portions of Central and much of Southern Illinois from the afternoon into night. Isolated to widely scattered severe t'storms occurred with this activity, with wind and hail being the threats that occurred. Further north, scattered showers and t'storms developed across portions of Northern Illinois late in the afternoon and evening. This activity spread across portions of Northern Illinois into the night. Isolated to widely scattered t'storms occurred with this activity, with wind and hail being the threats that occurred.
Tonight...
Isolated showers and t'storms will continue to be possible across portions of Northern Illinois tonight. An isolated severe t'storm may be possible, with wind and hail being the main threats. An isolated shower and t'storm may be possible across Southern Illinois tonight as well.

Friday Morning-Friday Night...
An isolated shower or t'storm may be possible Friday morning across portions of Northern Illinois. In the wake of this potential early day activity, scattered showers and t'storms will likely develop during the afternoon across portions of Iowa, Southern Wisconsin and Northern Illinois. This activity will push southeastward across portions of Northern Illinois into Friday night. An environment characterized by high instability, high moisture and low shear will be in place. This will help support an isolated severe t'storm potential for portions of Northern Illinois. Wind and hail will be the main threats. 


Below is the updated TAM severe t’storm forecast for Friday/Friday night.
Picture
​JP

​Please consider becoming a Patreon as a way to say thanks and support us for what we do! ​www.patreon.com/user?u=16598980

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Tue-Fri, June 25-28th Severe T'Storm Threat Update #7

6/27/2019

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(12:30PM - 6/27/19) Several smaller disturbances moving through the region will bring the chance for severe t'storms to portions of the state through Friday.

Tuesday Morning-Night Recap...
Scattered showers and t'storms developed and pushed across portions of Northern Illinois Tuesday afternoon. Some of these t'storms were severe, with wind and hail being the main threats that occurred. Tuesday evening into Tuesday night, a complex of rain and t'storms that developed across Southern Iowa pushed across Western and Central Illinois. Severe t'storms were widespread with this activity across Western Illinois, waning with time across Central Illinois. Wind and hail were the main threats that occurred with this activity.

Wednesday Morning-Night Recap...
Scattered showers and t'storms developed across Western and Southwest Illinois Wednesday afternoon. This activity grew upscale into a large complex, which pushed across portions of Central and much of Southern Illinois from the afternoon into night. Isolated to widely scattered severe t'storms occurred with this activity, with wind and hail being the threats that occurred. Further north, scattered showers and t'storms developed across portions of Northern Illinois late in the afternoon and evening. This activity spread across portions of Northern Illinois into the night. Isolated to widely scattered t'storms occurred with this activity, with wind and hail being the threats that occurred.
This afternoon-tonight...
Isolated to scattered showers and t'storms will be possible this afternoon and evening across Southern Illinois. This activity is associated with a left over disturbance that is caught under the building ridge of high pressure in the region. An environment characterized by low instability, moderate moisture and low shear will be in place. This will aide in an isolated severe t'storm threat across Southern Illinois, with wind and hail being the main threats. Of greater focus is further north, where a large complex of rain and t'storms is currently pushing across Minnesota and Iowa. This complex is expected to push east-southeastward into portions of Northern Illinois later this afternoon, continuing into tonight. An environment characterized by high instability, high moisture and low shear will be in place. This will help support up to a scattered severe t'storm threat for portions of Northern Illinois, with wind and hail will be the main threats. Should a widespread/significant damaging wind threat look increasingly likely based on observations, the potential exists for a further upgrade in severe t'storm probabilities in future updates.

Friday Morning-Friday Night...
A weakening complex of rain and t'storms may be ongoing across portions of Northern Illinois Friday morning. In the wake of this potential early day activity, scattered showers and t'storms will likely develop during the afternoon across portions of Missouri, Iowa, Wisconsin, Northern and Western Illinois. This activity will slowly push across portions of Northern and Central Illinois into Friday night. An environment characterized by high instability, high moisture and low shear will be in place. This will help support an isolated severe t'storm potential for portions of Northern and Central Illinois. Wind and hail will be the main threats. 


Below is the updated TAM severe t’storm forecast for today/tonight and Friday/Friday night.
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Picture
​JP

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Tue-Fri, June 25-28th Severe T'storm Threat Update #6

6/26/2019

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(9:30PM - 6/26/19) Several smaller disturbances moving through the region will bring the chance for severe t'storms to portions of the state through Friday.

Tuesday-Tuesday Night Recap...
Scattered showers and t'storms developed and pushed across portions of Northern Illinois Tuesday afternoon. Some of these t'storms were severe, with wind and hail being the main threats that occurred. Tuesday evening into Tuesday night, a complex of rain and t'storms that developed across Southern Iowa pushed across Western and Central Illinois. Severe t'storms were widespread with this activity across Western Illinois, waning with time across Central Illinois. Wind and hail were the main threats that occurred with this activity.

Tonight...
Scattered showers and t'storms have been ongoing across portions of Northern Illinois this evening, with some storms having been severe. This activity will continue for a few more hours, into early tonight, before diminishing. A few storms may continue to be severe until that time, with wind and hail being the main threats. Across Southern Illinois, an area of rain associated with a departing area of t'storms will continue into tonight, along with the chance of an isolated t'storm.
Thursday-Thursday Night...
Isolated to scattered showers and t'storms may be ongoing Thursday morning, across portions of Southern Illinois. This activity will be associated with a left over disturbance that will be caught under the building ridge of high pressure in the region. Continued scattered showers and t'storms will be possible through the day on Thursday and into Thursday night across Southern Illinois, associated with this lingering disturbance. An environment characterized by low instability, moderate moisture and low shear will be in place. This will aide in an isolated severe t'storm threat across Southern Illinois, with wind and hail being the main threats. Of greater focus will be further north, where a complex of rain and t'storms may push into portions of Northern Illinois Thursday afternoon or evening, lasting into Thursday night. An environment characterized by high instability, high moisture and low shear will be in place. This will help support an isolated severe t'storm potential for portions of Northern Illinois. Wind and hail will be the main threats. An upgrade in severe t'storm probabilities may be needed in future updates.

A severe t'storm threat will likely continue into at least Friday for portions of the state. This will be discussed further in upcoming updates as the time approaches.


Below is the updated TAM severe t’storm forecast for today/tonight and Thursday/Thursday night.
Picture
​JP

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Tue-Fri, June 25-28th Severe T'storm Threat Update #5

6/26/2019

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(11:30AM - 6/26/19) Several smaller disturbances moving through the region will bring the chance for severe t'storms to portions of the state through Friday.

Tuesday-Tuesday Night Recap...
Scattered showers and t'storms developed and pushed across portions of Northern Illinois Tuesday afternoon. Some of these t'storms were severe, with wind and hail being the main threats that occurred. Tuesday evening into Tuesday night, a complex of rain and t'storms that developed across Southern Iowa pushed across Western and Central Illinois. Severe t'storms were widespread with this activity across Western Illinois, waning with time across Central Illinois. Wind and hail were the main threats that occurred with this activity.

Wednesday-Wednesday Night...
A few weakening complex's of rain and t'storms and associated disturbances, that originated from High Plains activity last night, have been pushing eastward across Minnesota, Iowa and Missouri this morning. Ahead of the disturbances moving in, an environment characterized by high instability, high moisture and low shear will be in place across the state today. Regeneration and new development of showers and t'storms is expected to occur across a decent portion of the state this afternoon, as the disturbances move in from the west. This activity will then continue into tonight, diminishing with time. Isolated severe t'storms are likely across a decent portion of the state, with wind and hail being the main threats.
​Thursday-Thursday Night...
Isolated to scattered showers and t'storms may be ongoing Thursday morning, across Southern Illinois. This activity will be associated with a left over disturbance that will be caught under the building ridge of high pressure in the region. Continued scattered showers and t'storms will be possible through the day on Thursday and into Thursday night across Southern Illinois, associated with this lingering disturbance. An environment characterized by moderate instability, moderate moisture and low shear will be in place. This will aide in an isolated severe t'storm threat across Southern Illinois, with wind and hail being the main threats. Of greater focus will be further north, where a complex of rain and t'storms may push into portions of Northern Illinois Thursday afternoon or evening, lasting into Thursday night. Some of this activity could potentially affect portions of Central Illinois Thursday night as well. An environment characterized by high instability, high moisture and low shear will be in place. This will help support an isolated severe t'storm potential for portions of Northern Illinois. Wind and hail will be the main threats. An upgrade in severe t'storm probabilities may be needed in future updates.

A severe t'storm threat will likely continue into at least Friday for portions of the state. This will be discussed further in upcoming updates as the time approaches.


Below is the updated TAM severe t’storm forecast for today/tonight and Thursday/Thursday night.
Picture
Picture
​JP

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Tue-Wed, June 25-26th Severe T'storm Threat Update #4

6/25/2019

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(9:30PM - 6/25/19) Several disturbances and frontal boundary moving through the region, will bring the chance for severe t'storms to portions of the state through Wednesday.

Tonight...
A complex of rain and t'storms has been ongoing this evening across Western Illinois. Some of this activity has been severe, with wind and hail being the main threats occurring. This complex is expected to push eastward into Central Illinois the next several hours, eventually weakening and diminishing as time goes on tonight. A continued severe t'storm threat is likely, with wind and hail being the main threats.

Wednesday-Wednesday Night...
A weakening complex of rain and t'storms and associated disturbance, that originates from High Plains activity tonight, is expected to push into Minnesota and Iowa during the morning. Ahead of this, an environment characterized by high instability, moderate moisture and decent shear will be in place across the state during the afternoon. Regeneration of this complex and/or new development of showers and t'storms is expected to occur across a decent portion of the state during the afternoon. This activity will then continue into Wednesday night. Isolated severe t'storms are likely across a decent portion of the state, with wind and hail being the main threats. The forecast will be refined in the Wednesday morning forecast update, with an upgrade in severe probabilities possible for some areas.


Below is the updated TAM severe t’storm forecast for today/tonight.
Picture
​JP

​Please consider becoming a Patreon as a way to say thanks and support us for what we do! ​www.patreon.com/user?u=16598980

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Tue, June 25th Severe T'storm Threat Update #3

6/25/2019

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(12:30PM - 6/25/19) A disturbance and frontal boundary moving through the region, will bring the chance for severe t'storms to portions of the state today.

Isolated to scattered showers and t’storms will develop this afternoon in the vicinity of a front and disturbances that are moving through, across Northern Missouri, Iowa, Southern Wisconsin and Northern Illinois. This activity will then push east-southeastward across portions of Northern and Central Illinois, this afternoon into tonight. An environment in place featuring moderate instability, moderate moisture and decent shear will be in place. This will promote an isolated to widely scattered severe t’storm threat across much of Northern and Central Illinois, with wind and hail being the main threats.

Below is the updated TAM severe t’storm forecast for today/tonight.
Picture
​JP

​Please consider becoming a Patreon as a way to say thanks and support us for what we do! ​www.patreon.com/user?u=16598980

​To receive text alerts via our in-telligent groups text ISC to 900900
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