(11:15AM Saturday - 4/30/22) As a storm system moves through the region today, a few rounds of scattered showers and t'storms move across the state, along and ahead of the associated advancing cold front. Given environmental conditions expected to be in place, some severe t'storm risk is expected with some of this activity.
With this update we have expanded the level 2 risk across a larger portion of the state. This change was made based on new information and real time observations this morning, as well as increasing confidence in the scenario that is expected to unfold. Location... -Much of Illinois. Timing... -Midday today through early tonight. Impacts... -A level 1 to level 2 severe t'storm risk is in place. Isolated to widely scattered severe t'storms will be possible, posing a risk of damaging winds, hail and a few tornadoes.
JP
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(10:30PM Friday - 4/29/22) As a storm system moves through the region on Saturday, a few rounds of scattered showers and t'storms move across the state, along and ahead of the associated advancing cold front. Given environmental conditions expected to be in place, some severe t'storm risk is expected with some of this activity.
With this update, we have upgraded portions of Central and Southern Illinois to a level 2 sever t'storm risk. This change was made based on new data and increasing confidence in the scenario that is expected to unfold. Location... -Much of Illinois. Timing... -Midday Saturday through early Saturday night. Impacts... -A level 1 to level 2 severe t'storm risk is in place. Isolated to widely scattered severe t'storms will be possible, posing a risk of damaging winds, hail and isolated tornadoes.
JP
(11:30AM Friday - 4/29/22) As a storm system moves through the region on Saturday, a few rounds of scattered showers and t'storms move across the state, along and ahead of the associated advancing cold front. Given environmental conditions expected to be in place, some severe t'storm risk is expected with some of this activity. New information will continue to be monitored with time, for an eventual upgrade to a level 2 risk being possible for portions of the state.
Location... -Much of Illinois. Timing... -Midday Saturday through early Saturday night. Impacts... -A level 1 severe t'storm risk is in place. Isolated severe t'storms will be possible, posing a risk of damaging winds, hail and isolated tornadoes.
JP
(11:30AM Sunday - 4/24/22) A storm system moving through the region on Saturday brought a period of high winds to the state, Saturday morning through Saturday night. These high winds were a product of the combination of high winds aloft, decent mixing into the atmosphere, decent lapse rates and a good amount of sun.
Wrap-Up... -A period of southerly wind gusts upwards of 35-50MPH occurred across much of the state, Saturday morning through Saturday night.
JP
(9:30AM Sunday - 4/24/22) As a storm system moves through the region today, scattered showers and t'storms will develop and move across the state, along and ahead of the associated advancing cold front. Given environmental conditions expected to be in place, some severe t'storm risk is expected.
Location... -Northeast, East-Central and Southern Illinois. Timing... -This afternoon through tonight. Impacts... -A level 1 severe t'storm risk is in place. Isolated severe t'storms will be possible, posing a risk of damaging winds, hail and an isolated tornado.
JP
(9:30PM Saturday - 4/23/22) As a storm system moves through the region on Sunday, scattered showers and t'storms will develop and move across the state, along and ahead of the associated advancing cold front. Given environmental conditions expected to be in place, some severe t'storm risk is expected.
Location... -Northeast, East-Central and Southern Illinois. Timing... -Sunday afternoon through early Sunday night. Impacts... -A level 1 severe t'storm risk is in place. Isolated severe t'storms will be possible, posing a risk of damaging winds, hail and an isolated tornado.
JP
(1:30PM Friday - 4/15/22) A brief recap regarding the Thur, April 14th high wind event that impacted portions of the region and state.
Overview... The same storm system that brought a severe t'storm risk to the state and region the previous day on Wednesday (April 13th), also brought a high wind event to Northern and Central Illinois, Thursday morning through Thursday evening. This storm system tracked from the Northern Plains/Canada border to the Northern Great Lakes/Canada border on Thursday.
Summary...
Thursday Morning - Thursday Evening, April 14th ~ High Wind Event: As the storm system moved through the region on Thursday, a potent jet streak rounded the base of the associated trough through the region. This will brought a period of high winds to Northern and Central Illinois and portions of the region, Thursday morning through Thursday evening. High winds aloft, characterized by 700MB winds of 45-75KT and a low level jet (850MB) of upwards to 40-55KT, translated across the region. The combination of deep mixing up to around 800MB, along with steep lapse rates and ample sun, aided in transporting higher winds to the surface. During this period, westerly/southwesterly wind gusts of upwards of 35-50MPH to 45-60MPH occurred across Northern and central Illinois, Thursday morning through Thursday evening. Isolated power outages and isolated tree damage also occurred across portions of Northern and central Illinois due to the high winds.
Wrap-Up...
-A period of high winds gusts upwards of 35-50MPH to 45-60MPH occurred across Northern and Central Illinois, Thursday morning through Thursday evening. Isolated higher wind gusts of 60MPH+ occurred as well. -Isolated power outages and isolated tree damage occurred across Northern and Central Illinois, due to the high winds.
JP
(10:30AM Thursday - 4/14/22) A storm system moving through the region will bring a a period of high winds to Northern and Central Illinois, this morning through this evening.
Summary... With this update we have extended the area of expected high winds a bit further south into Central Illinois, based on new available information. The potent jet streak aloft trended a bit south on overnight and morning model guidance, which will expand the higher wind potential to more of the state. The same storm system that is bringing a severe t'storm risk to the state on Wednesday, will also bring a high wind event to Northern and Central Illinois, this morning through this evening. This storm system will track from the Northern Plains/Canada border to the Northern Great Lakes/Canada border on today.
Forecast...
This Morning - This Evening, April 14th ~ High Wind Event: As the storm system moves through the region today a potent jet streak will round the base of the associated trough through the region. This will bring a period of high winds to Northern and Central Illinois and portions of the region, this morning through this evening. High winds aloft, characterized by 700MB winds of 45-75KT and a low level jet (850MB) of upwards to 40-55KT, will be in place. Deep mixing up to is anticipated at up to around 800MB, along with steep lapse rates and ample sun, which will aide in transporting higher winds to the surface. During this period, westerly/southwesterly wind gusts of upwards of 35-50MPH to 45-60MPH are expected across the northern half of the state, this morning through this evening. Isolated power outages and isolated tree damage will be possible.
Impacts...
-A period of high winds gusts upwards of 35-50MPH to 45-60MPH is expected across Northern and Central Illinois, this morning through this evening. Isolated higher wind gusts of 60MPH+ will be possible. -Isolated power outages and isolated tree damage will be possible.
JP
(9:30PM Wednesday - 4/13/22) A storm system moving through the region will bring a a period of high winds to the northern half of the state, Thursday morning through Thursday evening.
Summary... With this update little to no change was needed, as the previous forecast is on track based on the latest information. The same storm system that is bringing a severe t'storm risk to the state on Wednesday, will also bring a high wind event to the northern half of the state, Thursday morning through Thursday evening. This storm system will track from the Northern Plains/Canada border to the Northern Great Lakes/Canada border on Thursday.
Forecast...
Thursday Morning - Thursday Evening, April 14th ~ High Wind Event: As the storm system moves through the region on Thursday, a potent jet streak will round the base of the associated trough through the region. This will bring a period of high winds to the northern half of the state and portions of the region, Thursday morning through Thursday evening. High winds aloft, characterized by 700MB winds of 55-85KT and a low level jet (850MB) of upwards to 40-55KT, will be in place. Deep mixing up to is anticipated at up to around 800MB, along with steep lapse rates and ample sun, which will aide in transporting higher winds to the surface. During this period, westerly/southwesterly wind gusts of upwards of 35-50MPH to 45-60MPH are expected across the northern half of the state, Thursday morning through Thursday evening.
Impacts...
-A period of high winds gusts upwards of 35-50MPH to 45-60MPH is expected across the northern half of the state, Thursday morning through Thursday evening. -Isolated power outages and isolated tree damage will be possible.
JP
(11:45AM Wednesday - 4/13/22) A storm system moving through the region will bring a a period of high winds to the northern half of the state, Thursday morning through Thursday evening.
Summary... The same storm system that is bringing a severe t'storm risk to the state on Wednesday, will also bring a high wind event to the northern half of the state, Thursday morning through Thursday evening. This storm system will track from the Northern Plains/Canada border to the Northern Great Lakes/Canada border on Thursday.
Forecast...
Thursday Morning - Thursday Evening, April 14th ~ High Wind Event: As the storm system moves through the region on Thursday, a potent jet streak will round the base of the associated trough through the region. This will bring a period of high winds to the northern half of the state and portions of the region, Thursday morning through Thursday evening. High winds aloft, characterized by 700MB winds of 55-85KT and a low level jet (850MB) of upwards to 40-55KT, will be in place. Deep mixing up to is anticipated at up to around 800MB, along with steep lapse rates and ample sun, which will aide in transporting higher winds to the surface. During this period, westerly/southwesterly wind gusts of upwards of 35-50MPH to 45-60MPH are expected across the northern half of the state, Thursday morning through Thursday evening.
Impacts...
-A period of high winds gusts upwards of 35-50MPH to 45-60MPH is expected across the northern half of the state, Thursday morning through Thursday evening.
JP
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