Illinois Storm Chasers - Bringing Our Best, During Mother Natures Worst!
  • Home
  • Weather Information
  • Services
  • Resources
    • Illinois NWS Offices
    • Illinois News Media
    • Learning Resources
    • Illinois Severe Weather Info
    • Illinois Winter Weather Info
    • Weather Alerts Service
    • Storm Chasing Info
  • About
  • Contact
  • Store

Mon, Oct 11th Severe T'Storm Episode Update #2

10/10/2021

0 Comments

 
(9:45PM - 10/10/21) A storm system moving through the region will bring severe t'storm potential to portions of the state, Monday morning through early Monday night.

Summary...
A storm system moving through the Southern Plains today, will move through the Mid-Mississippi Valley and Great Lakes on Monday. This storm system will bring severe t'storm potential to portions of the state, Monday morning through early Monday night. With this update little to no change was needed to the previous forecast with this update.
​Forecast...
Monday Morning - Monday Night, Oct 11th...
Areas of scattered showers and t'storms are expected to move across portions of the state, Monday morning into early Monday afternoon. In the wake of this early activity, there is a question as to how much atmospheric recovery occurs, which will dictate the level of severe t'storm potential with the main round of activity expected. As of now, there is expected to be at least some recovery with clearing and destabilization across the state, in the wake of earlier activity. An arc of scattered showers and t'storms are expected to develop late Monday morning into early Monday afternoon across Eastern Missouri and Western/Southwestern Illinois. This activity will then spread northeastward across the state, posing a severe t'storm risk. As of now, it appears the environment across the state will be supportive of some severe t'storm threat, though of lower risk level. This environment will feature low instability of 250-1,500J/KG, dew points in the low to upper 60's, good forcing, and modest lapse rates of 5.0-6.0C. This environment will be supportive of upwards of an isolated severe t'storm risk (level 1) across a large portion of the state. Damaging winds, hail and isolated tornadoes will be the severe weather threats. Should it look more likely better recovery will occur across the state, leading to a better and more supportive environment, higher severe t'storm probabilities could be needed in later updates.


​Below are the severe t'storm forecast for this event.
Picture
JP
0 Comments



Leave a Reply.

    Archives

    March 2023
    February 2023
    January 2023
    December 2022
    November 2022
    October 2022
    September 2022
    August 2022
    July 2022
    June 2022
    May 2022
    April 2022
    March 2022
    February 2022
    January 2022
    December 2021
    November 2021
    October 2021
    September 2021
    August 2021
    July 2021
    June 2021
    May 2021
    April 2021
    March 2021
    February 2021
    January 2021
    December 2020
    November 2020
    October 2020
    September 2020
    August 2020
    July 2020
    June 2020
    May 2020
    April 2020
    March 2020
    February 2020
    January 2020
    December 2019
    November 2019
    October 2019
    September 2019
    August 2019
    July 2019
    June 2019
    May 2019
    April 2019
    March 2019
    February 2019
    January 2019
    December 2018
    November 2018
    August 2018
    July 2018

    categories

    All
    Central Illinois
    Forecasts
    General
    Northern Illinois
    Recaps
    Southern Illinois

    RSS Feed

Contact Us
staff@illinoisstormchasers.com
© 2015-2023 Illinois Storm Chasers, LLC (ISC)
Add us on social media!
  • Home
  • Weather Information
  • Services
  • Resources
    • Illinois NWS Offices
    • Illinois News Media
    • Learning Resources
    • Illinois Severe Weather Info
    • Illinois Winter Weather Info
    • Weather Alerts Service
    • Storm Chasing Info
  • About
  • Contact
  • Store