Tue, April 28th severe T'Storm Threat Update #2

(9:45PM - 4/27/20) A storm system moving through the region on Tuesday will bring the chance for severe t'storms to the state.

The previous forecast continues to look on track, with no real changes needed with this update.

Synopsis...
An area of showers and t'storms will be ongoing Tuesday morning across portions of Iowa and Minnesota, along and ahead of an advancing cold front, associated with a storm system moving through the region. Ahead of this cold front and associated activity, some heating and destabilization will occur across the state. However, there is the potential for expansive cloud cover and debris showers, which puts into questions the amount of heating and destabilization that will occur. In any case, new and re-newed development of showers and t'storms will likely occur during the afternoon, from Eastern Iowa/Northwest Illinois on down into Missouri, near the morning activity that will have pushed eastward from Iowa and Minnesota.  This activity will then spread eastward across much of the state, from Tuesday afternoon into Tuesday night. An environment in place featuring low to moderate instability, mediocre to decent moisture, good forcing and good shear will be in place. This will help support a minimal to limited severe t'storm threat across much of the state. All modes of severe weather will be possible with any severe t'storms.

Below is the severe t'storm forecast for this event.

JP

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